Chart of the streaks of over 9k people

I'm happy to know others are interested in the data. Sadly the app creator is not willing to share the raw data (per day, not per interval) and he is a bit secretive on some things.

I have some new info which is important and which i will edit into op. I initially said that each entry stays in the data set forever but the app creator said it doesnt. Entries are removed from the pool if the app is uninstalled OR if they don't log back in "a couple of days". This is very important information and i will try to ask again for clarification.. so we know if we're talking "days" or "weeks" at least. This explains why there are so few people on longer intervals - they just log back rarely. So probably more are successful and it's not that depressing.

The fact that inactive users are removed has upsides and downsides, it doesn't inflate success rates but at the cost of inflating failure. But it's good to be pessimistic because as you said, addicts are not good at reliability.

As for your question about data points, as far as I understood from the explanation given to me by the creator (and it makes sense), when a person finishes day 1 for example and goes to day 2, he is removed from the first bracket and moved to the second. If a person finishes day 7 he is removed from the [6,7] bracket and moved to the [8,9] bracket.

 

It definitely is a very steep curve but i'd say expected given 3 major causes:

1. Every person relapsing goes back in the initial pools, and this is probably the biggest offender. So we have all the upper intervals spilling back in the first intervals.
2. High relapse rate in first and second week which reinforces those initial pools. I've kept doing nofap for years and it has been my experience as well that first 2 weeks are the hardest by far.
3. Inactivity which will remove many people with steaks higher than 2-3 weeks. They'll just log in less.

We could get very good data from tracker.nofap.com but i'm not sure why they don't publish the data and keep it to themselves.

 

The core insight would be that it gets much easier after 1st and 2nd week, but most people don't realize this and they mostly give up just before they'd figuratively hit gold. It's why i published this in the first place, because i understand why people tend to give up in the first 2 weeks: it's a real effort/struggle and withdrawals makes the experience worse... which makes people discouraged because they logically assume the next weeks, months etc will be just as hard as the first so they may just give up anyway.

Thank you, afaik people on day 0 are actually represented by day 1, as day 1 is basically [0,1). Day 2 is [1,2) and so on.

Yes, my plan is to run the same thing each month to normalize the curve. Hopefully the app creator doesn't modify the intervals. I asked for the raw data but so far he was unwilling to cooperate.